Using fisher information to track stability in multivariate systems

Nasir Ahmad, Sybil Derrible, Tarsha Eason, Heriberto Cabezas

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

34 Scopus citations

Abstract

With the current proliferation of data, the proficient use of statistical and mining techniques offer substantial benefits to capture useful information from any dataset. As numerous approaches make use of information theory concepts, here, we discuss how Fisher information (FI) can be applied to sustainability science problems and used in data mining applications by analysing patterns in data. FI was developed as a measure of information content in data, and it has been adapted to assess order in complex system behaviour. The main advantage of the approach is the ability to collapse multiple variables into an index that can be used to assess stability and track overall trends in a system, including its regimes and regime shifts. Here, we provide a brief overview of FI theory, followed by a simple step-by-step numerical example on how to compute FI. Furthermore, we introduce an open source Python library that can be freely downloaded from GitHub and we use it in a simple case study to evaluate the evolution of FI for the global-mean temperature from 1880 to 2015. Results indicate significant declines in FI starting in 1978, suggesting a possible regime shift.

Original languageEnglish
Article number160582
JournalRoyal Society Open Science
Volume3
Issue number11
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 2016
Externally publishedYes

Funding

FundersFunder number
National Science Foundation
Directorate for Computer and Information Science and Engineering1331800

    Keywords

    • Big data
    • Data mining
    • Fisher information
    • Information science

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