Abstract
We present the first interdisciplinary scientific effort to understand socio-environmental dynamics in the central region of Peru (Huancayo Province, Junín Region) using a newly created agent-based simulation model (ABM). It investigates how climate change is decreasing the size of the Huaytapallana glacier as sole source of water for the Shullcas River basin and population of Huancayo; and how heterogeneous inhabitants linked by household networks make bounded-rational decisions as environmental changes impact their lives. This new approach allows us to run computer simulations to better understand (1) different local emerging scenarios as people decide to migrate, stay, or protest, depending on how fast they adapt to environmental variability; and (2) how these behaviors affect regional demography, from the central Amazon jungle to the Pacific coast, including the capital, Lima. This study is part of the Mason-Smithsonian Joint Project on Climate and Society, funded by the US National Science Foundation.
| Original language | English |
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| Title of host publication | Understanding Migration Induced by Climate Change in Andes of Peru via Agent-Based Computational Modeling |
| Pages | 271 |
| Number of pages | 283 |
| State | Published - 2014 |
| Event | 5th World Congress on Social Simulation - São Paolo, Brazil Duration: Nov 4 2014 → Nov 7 2014 http://www.wcss2014.pcs.usp.br/ |
Conference
| Conference | 5th World Congress on Social Simulation |
|---|---|
| Country/Territory | Brazil |
| City | São Paolo |
| Period | 11/4/14 → 11/7/14 |
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