The parameter optimization problem in state-of-the-art climate models and network analysis for systematic data mining in model intercomparison projects.

Annalisa Bracco, Richard K. Archibald, Constantine Dovrolis, Ilias Foundalis, Hao Luo, J. David Neelin

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingChapterpeer-review

1 Scopus citations

Abstract

The focus of this work is on two major problems facing the scientific community when using increasingly complicated climate model outputs to investigate the past and future evolution of our climate. On one hand, it is important to assess the reliability of such models and how their response to increased greenhouse gas concentrations may depend on the parameters and parameterizations chosen; on the other, it is fundamental to improve our ability to validate and compare model results in a robust, compact, and meaningful way. Understanding how sensitive climate models are to changes in their parameters is of fundamental importance when addressing the problem of modeled climate sensitivity. Here a quadratic metamodel that uses a polynomial approximation to describe the parameter dependency is presented together with its application to the Community Atmospheric Model, CAM, in its two latest versions. Furthermore, the application of complex network analysis to climate fields is briefly summarized and a novel methodology that allows for robust model intercomparisons is presented together with a set of metrics to quantify the topological properties of model outputs. The application of the network analysis to outputs from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project - Phase 5 (CMIP5) completes the notes.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationCISM International Centre for Mechanical Sciences, Courses and Lectures
PublisherSpringer International Publishing
Pages121-141
Number of pages21
DOIs
StatePublished - 2016

Publication series

NameCISM International Centre for Mechanical Sciences, Courses and Lectures
Volume564
ISSN (Print)0254-1971
ISSN (Electronic)2309-3706

Funding

∗The authors wish to thank the generous support of the US Department of Energy through the SciDAC program, DE-SC0007143, and of the National Science Foundation, grant DMS 1049095 that supported this work.

Keywords

  • Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation
  • Community Climate System Model Version
  • Ensemble Member
  • Multiobjective Optimization
  • Simple Ocean Data Assimilation

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