THE DISTRIBUTION of the MAJOR ECONOMIES' EFFORT in the DURBAN PLATFORM SCENARIOS

Massimo Tavoni, Elmar Kriegler, Tino Aboumahboub, Kate Calvin, Gauthier De Maere, Marshall Wise, David Klein, Jessica Jewell, T. O.M. Kober, Paul Lucas, Gunnar Luderer, David McCollum, Giacomo Marangoni, Keywan Riahi, Detlef Van Vuuren

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

65 Scopus citations

Abstract

The feasibility of achieving climate stabilization consistent with the objective of 2°C is heavily influenced by how the effort in terms of mitigation and economic resources will be distributed among the major economies. This paper provides a multi-model quantification of the mitigation commitment in 10 major regions of the world for a diversity of allocation schemes. Our results indicate that a policy with uniform carbon pricing and no transfer payments would yield an uneven distribution of policy costs, which would be lower than the global average for OECD countries, higher for developing economies and the highest, for energy exporters. We show that a resource sharing scheme based on long-term convergence of per capita emissions would not resolve the issue of cost distribution. An effort sharing scheme which equalizes regional policy costs would yield an allocation of allowances comparable with the ones proposed by the Major Economies. Under such a scheme, emissions would peak between 2030 and 2045 for China and remain rather flat for India. In all cases, a very large international carbon market would be required.

Original languageEnglish
Article number1340009
JournalClimate Change Economics
Volume4
Issue number4
DOIs
StatePublished - Nov 1 2013
Externally publishedYes

Funding

The analysis that allowed the publication of this paper was funded by LIMITS project (FP7/2011-2014, grant agreement no. 282846) of the European Commission. *The analysis that allowed the publication of this paper was funded by LIMITS project (FP7/2011-2014, grant agreement no. 282846) of the European Commission. †Corresponding author.

Keywords

  • Climate change economics
  • bioenergy
  • burden sharing
  • climate change
  • equity
  • integrated assessment
  • integrated assessment models
  • regional mitigation costs

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