TY - JOUR
T1 - Techno-economic analysis and network design for CO₂ conversion to jet fuels in the United States
AU - Zhou, Rui
AU - Jin, Mingzhou
AU - Li, Zhenglong
AU - Xiao, Yang
AU - McCollum, David
AU - Li, Alicia
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2024 Elsevier Ltd
PY - 2025/3
Y1 - 2025/3
N2 - The conversion of carbon dioxide (CO2) into jet fuel holds significant potential for reducing CO2 emissions, providing an alternative to carbon-based resources, and offering a renewable means of energy storage. The objective of this study is to conduct a techno-economic analysis and optimize the supply chain network for converting CO2 to jet fuel in the United States, aiming to minimize total costs while assessing the environmental and economic feasibility of two CO2 conversion pathways. This first pathway is based on Fischer-Tropsch synthesis (FTS), and the other one is based on the valorization and upgrading of light methanol (MeOH). Incorporating spatial and techno-economic data, a mixed-integer linear programming model was developed to select source plants and conversion pathways, locations of conversion refinery sites, and the amount of captured CO2 across the United States. The optimal results indicate that the FTS pathway is adopted at all selected refineries when the hydrogen price is $1000/t and the operating cost, mainly electricity used in conversion, is reduced to 5 % of its current level. Under this scenario, the total annual profit is $8B and the net carbon emissions are −88,783,284 tons. The sensitivity analyses reveal that the prices of electricity and hydrogen significantly contribute to total production costs. The CO2 recycle percentage of the FTS pathway influences the choice of applied pathways at refineries. Additionally, a higher conversion rate holds a substantial promise for reducing the total production cost and can make the MeOH pathway a viable choice.
AB - The conversion of carbon dioxide (CO2) into jet fuel holds significant potential for reducing CO2 emissions, providing an alternative to carbon-based resources, and offering a renewable means of energy storage. The objective of this study is to conduct a techno-economic analysis and optimize the supply chain network for converting CO2 to jet fuel in the United States, aiming to minimize total costs while assessing the environmental and economic feasibility of two CO2 conversion pathways. This first pathway is based on Fischer-Tropsch synthesis (FTS), and the other one is based on the valorization and upgrading of light methanol (MeOH). Incorporating spatial and techno-economic data, a mixed-integer linear programming model was developed to select source plants and conversion pathways, locations of conversion refinery sites, and the amount of captured CO2 across the United States. The optimal results indicate that the FTS pathway is adopted at all selected refineries when the hydrogen price is $1000/t and the operating cost, mainly electricity used in conversion, is reduced to 5 % of its current level. Under this scenario, the total annual profit is $8B and the net carbon emissions are −88,783,284 tons. The sensitivity analyses reveal that the prices of electricity and hydrogen significantly contribute to total production costs. The CO2 recycle percentage of the FTS pathway influences the choice of applied pathways at refineries. Additionally, a higher conversion rate holds a substantial promise for reducing the total production cost and can make the MeOH pathway a viable choice.
KW - CO reduction
KW - Life cycle analysis
KW - Renewable jet fuel
KW - Supply chain optimization
KW - Techno-economic analysis
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85212395338&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1016/j.rser.2024.115191
DO - 10.1016/j.rser.2024.115191
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:85212395338
SN - 1364-0321
VL - 210
JO - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
JF - Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
M1 - 115191
ER -