Selecting durable building envelope systems with machine learning assisted hygrothermal simulations database

Mikael Salonvaara, Seungjae Lee, Emishaw Iffa, Philip Boudreaux, Simon Pallin, André Desjarlais, Antonio Aldykiewicz

Research output: Contribution to journalConference articlepeer-review

4 Scopus citations

Abstract

Hygrothermal simulations provide insight into the energy performance and moisture durability of building envelope components under dynamic conditions. The inputs required for hygrothermal simulations are extensive, and carrying out simulations and analyses requires expert knowledge. An expert system, the Building Science Advisor (BSA), has been developed to predict the performance and select the energy-efficient and durable building envelope systems for different climates. The BSA consists of decision rules based on expert opinions and thousands of parametric simulation results for selected wall systems. The number of potential wall systems results in millions, too many to simulate all of them. We present how machine learning can help predict durability data, such as mold growth, while minimizing the number of simulations needed to run. The simulation results are used for training and validation of machine learning tools for predicting wall durability. We tested Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Gradient Boosted Decision Trees (GBDT) for their applicability and model accuracy. Models developed with both methods showed adequate prediction performance (root mean square error of 0.195 and 0.209, respectively). Finally, we introduce how the information supports guidance for envelope design via an easy-to-use web-based tool that does not require the end-user to run hygrothermal simulations.

Original languageEnglish
Article number012230
JournalJournal of Physics: Conference Series
Volume2069
DOIs
StatePublished - Dec 2 2021
Event8th International Building Physics Conference, IBPC 2021 - Copenhagen, Virtual, Denmark
Duration: Aug 25 2021Aug 27 2021

Funding

This manuscript has been authored in part by UT-Battelle, LLC, under contract DE-AC05-00OR22725 with the US Department of Energy (DOE). The US government retains and the publisher, by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the US government retains a nonexclusive, paid-up, irrevocable, worldwide license to publish or reproduce the published form of this manuscript, or allow others to do so, for US government purposes. DOE will provide public access to these results of federally sponsored research in accordance with the DOE Public Access Plan (http://energy.gov/downloads/doe-public-access-plan).

FundersFunder number
DOE Public Access Plan
U.S. Department of Energy

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