Remaining useful tool life predictions using Bayesian inference

Jaydeep Karandikar, Tom McLeay, Sam Turner, Tony Schmitz

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

6 Scopus citations

Abstract

Tool wear is an important limitation to machining productivity. In this paper, remaining useful tool life predictions using the random walk method of Bayesian inference is demonstrated. End milling tests were performed on a titanium workpiece and spindle power was recorded. The power root mean square value in the time domain was found to be sensitive to tool wear and was used for tool life predictions. Sample power root mean square growth curves were generated and the probability of each curve being the true growth curve was updated using Bayes' rule. The updated probabilities were used to determine the remaining useful tool life. Results show good agreement between the predicted tool life and the true remaining life. The proposed method takes into account the uncertainty in tool life and the percentage of nominal power root mean square value at the end of tool life.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationASME 2013 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference Collocated with the 41st North American Manufacturing Research Conference, MSEC 2013
DOIs
StatePublished - 2013
Externally publishedYes
EventASME 2013 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference Collocated with the 41st North American Manufacturing Research Conference, MSEC 2013 - Madison, WI, United States
Duration: Jun 10 2013Jun 14 2013

Publication series

NameASME 2013 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference Collocated with the 41st North American Manufacturing Research Conference, MSEC 2013
Volume2

Conference

ConferenceASME 2013 International Manufacturing Science and Engineering Conference Collocated with the 41st North American Manufacturing Research Conference, MSEC 2013
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CityMadison, WI
Period06/10/1306/14/13

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