Predicting departure from nucleate boiling with advanced data- and physics-driven approaches

The subcooled and low-quality saturated flow boiling critical heat flux (CHF) corresponding to the departure from nucleate boiling (DNB) is one of the major limiting factors in the design and operation of pressurized water reactors (PWRs). Due to lack of agreement on its physical mechanisms, development of an accurate DNB-type CHF model has been elusive. The various steady-state (SS) predictive tools that have been proposed can be grouped into two categories: (1) data-driven methods—namely best-fit empirical correlations and look-up tables that result in relatively good agreement with specific experimental datasets but often fail to extend beyond their ranges of validity, and (2) the physics-based mechanistic models that rely on reasonable yet limited understanding of the underlying physics and apply constitutive relations to close the conservation equations. On one hand, with recent advances in computational capabilities and optimization techniques, machine learning (ML)-based methods constitute an alternative and a more advanced, data-driven approach. With enough data, they can be particularly useful in engineering fields where the physical phenomena are complex and challenging to model. On the other hand, a state-of-the-art physics-driven approach would not only provide more accurate prediction of SS CHF, but it would also help better understand and model transient applications. The data-driven regression models use deep feed-forward neural networks (NNs) and random forests to cross-validate with 1,865 CHF test cases, covering a wide range of flow conditions and channel geometries. The best-estimate ML-based predictors compare favorably with the widely used look-up table for annulus and plate, and sensitivity analysis has confirmed their effectiveness. The key advantage of ML-based methods is their online extensibility of applicability domain. The proposed physics-driven approach combines key assumptions and parameters in the relatively well-accepted theories of liquid sublayer dryout and near-wall bubble crowding. A more realistic understanding of local mechanisms has been modeled. The new model has been optimized and validated against 1,439 tube data, and it shows considerably improved performance when compared to a recent mechanistic model, demonstrating unbiased close agreement with measurements over a wide range of operating conditions. Future work will extend the improved physics-driven model to non-tube geometry applications and will couple the model with ML via a hybrid approach. The mechanistic SS work will also serve to improve understanding and to model transient CHF scenarios.