Post-2020 climate agreements in the major economies assessed in the light of global models

Massimo Tavoni, Elmar Kriegler, Keywan Riahi, Detlef P. Van Vuuren, Tino Aboumahboub, Alex Bowen, Katherine Calvin, Emanuele Campiglio, Tom Kober, Jessica Jewell, Gunnar Luderer, Giacomo Marangoni, David Mccollum, Mariësse Van Sluisveld, Anne Zimmer, Bob Van Der Zwaan

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

150 Scopus citations

Abstract

Integrated assessment models can help in quantifying the implications of international climate agreements and regional climate action. This paper reviews scenario results from model intercomparison projects to explore different possible outcomes of post-2020 climate negotiations, recently announced pledges and their relation to the 2 °C target. We provide key information for all the major economies, such as the year of emission peaking, regional carbon budgets and emissions allowances. We highlight the distributional consequences of climate policies, and discuss the role of carbon markets for financing clean energy investments, and achieving efficiency and equity.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)119-126
Number of pages8
JournalNature Climate Change
Volume5
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 28 2015
Externally publishedYes

Funding

The research leading to these results has received funding from the European Union Seventh Framework Programme FP7/2007-2013 under grant agreement no. 282846 (LIMITS).

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