Abstract

In this paper we investigate how implementing machine learning could improve the efficiency of the search for Trans-Neptunian Objects (TNOs) within Dark Energy Survey (DES) data when used alongside orbit fitting. The discovery of multiple TNOs that appear to show a similarity in their orbital parameters has led to the suggestion that one or more undetected planets, an as yet undiscovered “Planet 9”, may be present in the outer solar system. DES is well placed to detect such a planet and has already been used to discover many other TNOs. Here, we perform tests on eight different supervised machine learning algorithms, using a data set consisting of simulated TNOs buried within real DES noise data. We found that the best performing classifier was the Random Forest which, when optimized, performed well at detecting the rare objects. We achieve an area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, (AUC)=0.996±0.001. After optimizing the decision threshold of the Random Forest, we achieve a recall of 0.96 while maintaining a precision of 0.80. Finally, by using the optimized classifier to pre-select objects, we are able to run the orbit-fitting stage of our detection pipeline five times faster.

Original languageEnglish
Article number014501
Pages (from-to)1-14
Number of pages14
JournalPublications of the Astronomical Society of the Pacific
Volume133
Issue number1019
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 2021

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020. The Astronomical Society of the Pacific. All rights reserved.

Keywords

  • Computational methods
  • Minor planets
  • Random Forests
  • Trans-Neptunian objects

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