Abstract
Agent-based models are a powerful tool for predicting population level behaviors; however their performance can be sensitive to the initial simulation conditions. This paper introduces a procedure for leveraging large datasets to initialize agent-based simulations in which the population is abstracted into a set of archetypes. We show that these archetypes can be discovered using clustering and evaluate the benefits of selecting clusters based on their stability over time. Our experiments on the GitHub dataset demonstrate that simulation runs performed with the clustering archetypes are more successful at predicting large-scale activity patterns.
Original language | English |
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Title of host publication | Social, Cultural, and Behavioral Modeling - 11th International Conference, SBP-BRiMS 2018, Proceedings |
Editors | Halil Bisgin, Robert Thomson, Ayaz Hyder, Christopher Dancy |
Publisher | Springer Verlag |
Pages | 233-239 |
Number of pages | 7 |
ISBN (Print) | 9783319933719 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - 2018 |
Externally published | Yes |
Event | 11th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction conference and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation, SBP-BRiMS 2018 - Washington, United States Duration: Jul 10 2018 → Jul 13 2018 |
Publication series
Name | Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics) |
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Volume | 10899 LNCS |
ISSN (Print) | 0302-9743 |
ISSN (Electronic) | 1611-3349 |
Conference
Conference | 11th International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, and Prediction conference and Behavior Representation in Modeling and Simulation, SBP-BRiMS 2018 |
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Country/Territory | United States |
City | Washington |
Period | 07/10/18 → 07/13/18 |
Funding
This research was supported by DARPA program HR001117S0018.
Keywords
- Agent-based models
- GitHub archetypes
- Stable clustering
- Unsupervised learning