Identification of aggregate building thermal dynamic model and unmeasured internal heat load from data

This paper is on the problem of simultaneously identifying the parameters of an aggregate thermal dynamic model of a multi-zone building and unknown disturbances from input-output data. An aggregate model is a single-zone equivalent of a multi-zone building, and is useful for many purposes, including model based control of large heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) equipment that delivers thermal energy to the entire building. A key challenge in identification is the presence of unknown disturbance since it is not measurable but non-negligible.We first present a principled method to aggregate a multizone building model into a single zone model. We then provide a method to identify thermal parameters and the unknown disturbance for this aggregate (single-zone) model. Finally, we test our proposed identification algorithm to data generated from a virtual building. A key insight provided by the aggregation method allows us to recognize under what conditions the estimation of the disturbance signal will be necessarily poor and uncertain.