Abstract
Reducing dependence on fossil-based energy has raised interest in biofuels as a potential energy source, but concerns have been raised about potential implications for water quality. These effects may vary regionally depending on the biomass feedstocks and changes in land management. Here, we focused on the Tennessee River Basin (TRB), USA. According to the recent 2016 Billion-Ton Report (BT16) by the US Department of Energy, under two future scenarios (base-case and high-yield), three perennial feedstocks show high potential for growing profitably in the TRB: switchgrass (Panicum virgatum), miscanthus (Miscanthus × giganteus), and willow (Salix spp.). We used the Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to compare hydrology and water quality for a current landscape with those simulated for two future BT16 landscapes. We combined publicly available temporal and geospatial datasets with local land and water management information to realistically represent physical characteristics of the watershed. We developed a new autocalibration tool (SWATopt) to calibrate and evaluate SWAT in the TRB with reservoir operations, including comparison against synthetic and intermediate response variables derived from gage measurements. Our spatiotemporal evaluation enables to more realistically simulate the current situation, which gives us more confidence to project the effects of land-use changes on water quality. Under both future BT16 scenarios, simulated nitrate and total nitrogen loadings and concentrations were greatly reduced relative to the current landscape, whereas runoff, sediment, and phosphorus showed only small changes. Difference between simulated water results for the two future scenarios was small. The influence of biomass production on water quantity and quality depended on the crop, area planted, and management practices, as well as on site-specific characteristics. These results offer hope that bioenergy production in the TRB could help to protect the region's rivers from nitrogen pollution by providing a market for perennial crops with low nutrient input requirements.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 877-893 |
Number of pages | 17 |
Journal | GCB Bioenergy |
Volume | 10 |
Issue number | 11 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Nov 2018 |
Funding
This manuscript has been authored by UT‐Battelle, LLC under Contract No. DE‐AC05‐00OR22725 with the U.S. Department of Energy. The United States Government retains and the publisher, by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the United States Government retains a non‐exclusive, paid‐up, irrevocable, worldwide license to publish or reproduce the published form of this manuscript, or allow others to do so, for United States Government purposes. The Department of Energy will provide public access to these results of federally sponsored research in accordance with the DOE Public Access Plan (http://energy.gov/downloads/doe-public-access-plan). This material is based upon work supported by the U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Energy Efficiency & Renewable Energy's Bioenergy Technology Program. Oak Ridge National Laboratory is managed by UT-Battelle, LLC for the U.S. Department of Energy under Contract No. DE-AC05-00OR22725. We thank Tyler F. Baker at the Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA) for providing reservoir outflow data. We also thank Michelle Thornton for providing DAYMET data and David Gorelick and Jasmine Kreig for discussion on this study. We appreciate the help of Dr. Ingrid Busch in formulating and solving the optimization to downscale future landscapes using CPLEX solvers. In addition, we appreciate the insightful reviews of Drs. Shih-Chieh Kao and Sujithkumar Surendran Nair. Thanks also go to the anonymous reviewers for their constructive comments.
Funders | Funder number |
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U.S. Department of Energy | |
Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy | |
Oak Ridge National Laboratory | DE-AC05-00OR22725 |
Tennessee Valley Authority |
Keywords
- SWAT
- Tennessee River Basin
- bioenergy crops
- biomass production
- spatiotemporal evaluation
- water quality