TY - GEN
T1 - Environmental biosurveillance for epidemic prediction
T2 - International Workshop on Biosurveillance and Biosecurity, BioSecure 2008
AU - Chretien, Jean Paul
AU - Anyamba, Assaf
AU - Small, Jennifer
AU - Tucker, Compton J.
AU - Britch, Seth C.
AU - Linthicum, Kenneth J.
PY - 2008
Y1 - 2008
N2 - Despite established links between climate and infectious disease activity, few biosurveillance systems use climatic data to forecast epidemics. The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects weather worldwide and in East Africa is associated with flooding and Rift Valley fever, a mosquito-borne viral disease of economically important livestock and humans. Following a regional ENSO-associated outbreak in 1997-1998, several agencies created a system to forecast RVF using satellite-based monitoring of ENSO and other climatic phenomena. The system generated 5 alerts since 2005. Following 3, in South Africa (2008), Sudan (2007), and East Africa (2006), RVF occurred in high-risk areas (no other RVF outbreaks were reported in monitored areas). Alerts for the Arabian Peninsula (2005) and Sudan (2005) were not followed by RVF reports, though the latter preceded a large Yellow Fever epidemic. Future directions for the system include decision analysis to guide public health interventions and extension to other climate-associated risks.
AB - Despite established links between climate and infectious disease activity, few biosurveillance systems use climatic data to forecast epidemics. The El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) affects weather worldwide and in East Africa is associated with flooding and Rift Valley fever, a mosquito-borne viral disease of economically important livestock and humans. Following a regional ENSO-associated outbreak in 1997-1998, several agencies created a system to forecast RVF using satellite-based monitoring of ENSO and other climatic phenomena. The system generated 5 alerts since 2005. Following 3, in South Africa (2008), Sudan (2007), and East Africa (2006), RVF occurred in high-risk areas (no other RVF outbreaks were reported in monitored areas). Alerts for the Arabian Peninsula (2005) and Sudan (2005) were not followed by RVF reports, though the latter preceded a large Yellow Fever epidemic. Future directions for the system include decision analysis to guide public health interventions and extension to other climate-associated risks.
KW - Biosurveillance
KW - Forecasting
KW - Modeling
KW - Remote sensing
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=58549084983&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1007/978-3-540-89746-0_17
DO - 10.1007/978-3-540-89746-0_17
M3 - Conference contribution
AN - SCOPUS:58549084983
SN - 3540897453
SN - 9783540897453
T3 - Lecture Notes in Computer Science (including subseries Lecture Notes in Artificial Intelligence and Lecture Notes in Bioinformatics)
SP - 169
EP - 174
BT - Biosurveillance and Biosecurity - International Workshop, BioSecure 2008, Proceedings
Y2 - 2 December 2008 through 2 December 2008
ER -
