Enhancing Streamflow Reanalysis Across the Conterminous US Leveraging Multiple Gridded Precipitation Data Sets

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

Abstract

Streamflow observations, essential for various water resource applications, are often unavailable at critical locations in need. Although different models have been proposed to enhance streamflow predictability at ungauged locations, the challenge extends beyond model fidelity. Differences in meteorologic forcing data sets, precipitation in particular, can significantly affect the accuracy of hydrologic predictions. This challenge intensifies across regions characterized by diverse hydro-climatological and geographical conditions, such as in the conterminous US (CONUS) where a single precipitation product struggles to consistently replicate observed hydrographs, particularly peak flow dynamics. To enhance streamflow predictions, we utilize a VIC-RAPID hydrologic modeling framework driven by multiple commonly used meteorological forcing data sets, such as Daymet, PRISM, ST4, AORC, and their hybrids and create multiple sets of 40-year (1980–2019) hourly, daily, and monthly streamflow reanalysis, Dayflow Version 2, for 2.7 million river reaches across the CONUS. Most forcings lead to skillful streamflow performance, except for ST4 in the mountainous west, where severe radar blockage adversely affects the accuracy. The evaluation using over 6,000 hourly stream gauges shows that hourly AORC and ST4 lead to improved annual peak flow performance over Daymet—driven streamflow (Dayflow V1), particularly in smaller basins, highlighting the value of high temporal resolution forcings in hydrologic predictions. Compared with other benchmark data sets like National Water Model V3.0, AORC-driven VIC-RAPID exhibits improved regional streamflow performance, with comparable peak flow representation. We envision that multi-forcing streamflow reanalysis data can inform regions in need of forcing data enhancement, diagnose hydrologic model performance, and benefit diverse water resource applications.

Original languageEnglish
Article numbere2024WR038256
JournalWater Resources Research
Volume61
Issue number3
DOIs
StatePublished - Mar 2025

Funding

This study was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Water Power Technologies Office. The research used resources from the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which is a DOE Office of Science User Facility. Support for https://doi.org/10.13139/OLCF/2222888 data set is also provided by DOE. The authors are employees of UT-Battelle, LLC, under contract DE-AC05-00OR22725 with the US DOE. Accordingly, the US government retains and the publisher, by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the US government retains a nonexclusive, paid-up, irrevocable, worldwide license to publish or reproduce the published form of this manuscript or allow others to do so, for US Government purposes. This study was supported by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Water Power Technologies Office. The research used resources from the Oak Ridge Leadership Computing Facility at Oak Ridge National Laboratory, which is a DOE Office of Science User Facility. Support for https://doi.org/10.13139/OLCF/2222888 data set is also provided by DOE. The authors are employees of UT\u2010Battelle, LLC, under contract DE\u2010AC05\u201000OR22725 with the US DOE. Accordingly, the US government retains and the publisher, by accepting the article for publication, acknowledges that the US government retains a nonexclusive, paid\u2010up, irrevocable, worldwide license to publish or reproduce the published form of this manuscript or allow others to do so, for US Government purposes.

Keywords

  • AORC
  • ST4
  • VIC-RAPID modeling framework
  • extremes
  • national water model
  • streamflow reanalysis

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