Elman short-term wind power prediction based on the optimized seagull algorithm

Accurate prediction of wind farm power output can relieve the pressure of grid frequency regulation and peak regulation and improve grid stability. With the goal of improving power prediction accuracy and reducing overall prediction error, this paper proposes an Elman short-term wind power prediction model on the basis of an optimized seagull algorithm. Firstly, the Elman network is used as the base prediction model, and the seagull algorithm is applied to seek the best values for its weights. Secondly, the chaotic circle mapping with better initial characteristics is improved to equalize its sequence distribution for optimizing the population initialization. Then, to address the lack of local search capability, an optimized iterative approach using the sine cosine operator is used to achieve a balance between local exploitation ability and global search capability. Finally, after simulation and analysis of the actual data set, it is verified that the model has a better prediction effect.