Drivers of forest productivity in two regions of the United States: Relative impacts of management and environmental variables

Climate, environmental conditions, and management strategies are key factors affecting forest net ecosystem production (NEP). However, little is known about the relationship between management approaches and regional to continental-scale forest productivity. In this study, we utilized forests of the U.S. Southeast (SEUS) and Pacific Northwest (PNW), two ecologically and socio-politically distinct regions, to answer the question: Does management exert a stronger influence on NEP than environmental factors? We estimated Geographically Weighted Regression models of NEP derived from the Ecosystem Demography Model as a function of soil, topography, climate, and forest management practices for the period 2000–2015 using 383 and 407 10 × 10 km² landscapes in SEUS and PNW, respectively. Results showed that forest management practices were important in predicting NEP only in mountainous northeastern areas of the SEUS; in the PNW, NEP had a more complex relationship with management and was positively related to ecological, preservation, and passive management. Management, topography, and soil were more strongly correlated with NEP in the PNW than in the SEUS, in which 81%, 83%, and 83% of PNW locations showed significant relationships with at least one management, topography, or soil variable, repectively. In contrast, seasonal precipitation and temperature were stronger predictors of NEP in the SEUS than other drivers, with 99% and 84% of the locations influenced by at least one seasonal temperature or precipitation variable, respectively. The findings of this study may provide a valuable framework for forest management - climate change strategies that could be extended across regional scales.