Digital Twin Empowered PV Power Prediction

  • Xiaoyu Zhang
  • , Yushuai Li
  • , Tianyi Li
  • , Yonghao Gui
  • , Qiuye Sun
  • , David Wenzhong Gao

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

25 Scopus citations

Abstract

The accurate prediction of photovoltaic (PV) power generation is significant to ensure the economic and safe operation of power systems. To this end, the paper establishes a new digital twin (DT) empowered PV power prediction framework that is capable of ensuring reliable data transmission and employing the DT to achieve high accuracy of power prediction. With this framework, considering potential data contamination in the collected PV data, a generative adversarial network is employed to restore the historical dataset, which offers a prerequisite to ensure accurate mapping from the physical space to the digital space. Further, a new DT-empowered PV power prediction method is proposed. Therein, we model a DT that encompasses a digital physical model for reflecting the physical operation mechanism and a neural network model (i.e., a parallel network of convolution and bidirectional long short-term memory model) for capturing the hidden spatiotemporal features. The proposed method enables the use of the DT to take advantages of the digital physical model and the neural network model, resulting in enhanced prediction accuracy. Finally, a real dataset is conducted to assess the effectiveness of the proposed method.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)1472-1483
Number of pages12
JournalJournal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy
Volume12
Issue number5
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024

Funding

This work was supported by European Horizon 2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (No. 101023244). Manuscript received:May 24,2023;revised:August 19,2023;accepted:Oc‐ tober 15,2023.Date of CrossCheck:October 15,2023.Date of online publica‐ tion:November 17,2023. This work was supported by European Horizon 2020Marie Sklodowska-Cu‐ rie Actions (No. 101023244). This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribu‐ tion 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). X.Zhang and Q.Sun are with the School of Information Science and Engi‐ neering, Northeastern University , Shenyang 1 10004 , China (e-mail: [email protected]; [email protected]). Y . Li (corresponding author) is with the Department of Informatics, Universi‐ ty of Oslo, Oslo 0316m, Norway (e-mail: [email protected]). T . Li is with the Department of Computer Science, Aalborg University , Aal‐ borg 9220, Denmark (e-mail: [email protected]). Y . Gui is with the Electrification and Energy Infrastructures Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory , Oak Ridge, TN 37830, USA (e-mail: guiy@ornl. gov). D.W .Gao is with the Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Denver , Denver , CO 80208, USA (e-mail: W enzhong .Gao@du. edu). DOI: 10.35833/MPCE.2023.000351

Keywords

  • Photovoltaic power prediction
  • data recovery
  • digital twin
  • hybrid prediction

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