Data-Driven Model for Photovoltaic Generation: Comparison with Physical Models Using a Microgrid in Puerto Rico

Marcos R.Pesante Colón, Alberto I.Cruz Salamán, Dylan Cruz Figueroa, Aditya Sundararajan, Maximiliano Ferrari

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

Abstract

Photovoltaic (PV) generation is a critical component of microgrids, but its accurate modeling is challenging due to the complex and dynamic interactions between solar irradiance, temperature, and PV system installation. This paper develops a multilayer perceptron (MLP) model that inputs solar irradiance and temperature to estimate the PV generation, and it compares the proposed data-driven model's performance to two well-known physical models: the single-diode model and the inverter model. The results demonstrate that all the models can reach high levels of accuracy. However, the MLP model outperforms the physical models on average by 4.5 to 6.6 percent in R squared scores and 220 to 290 Watts in RMSE scores, and it does not require physical system parameters. Moreover, the data-driven model can overcome the limitations of the lack of real-time PV generation data.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publication2024 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2024
PublisherIEEE Computer Society
ISBN (Electronic)9798350381832
DOIs
StatePublished - 2024
Event2024 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2024 - Seattle, United States
Duration: Jul 21 2024Jul 25 2024

Publication series

NameIEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting
ISSN (Print)1944-9925
ISSN (Electronic)1944-9933

Conference

Conference2024 IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting, PESGM 2024
Country/TerritoryUnited States
CitySeattle
Period07/21/2407/25/24

Keywords

  • Data-driven modeling
  • PV generation modeling
  • meteorological data
  • microgrids
  • multilayer perceptron

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