Abstract
Comorbidities such as anemia or hypertension and physiological factors related to exertion can influence a patient’s hemodynamics and increase the severity of many cardiovascular diseases. Observing and quantifying associations between these factors and hemodynamics can be difficult due to the multitude of co-existing conditions and blood flow parameters in real patient data. Machine learning-driven, physics-based simulations provide a means to understand how potentially correlated conditions may affect a particular patient. Here, we use a combination of machine learning and massively parallel computing to predict the effects of physiological factors on hemodynamics in patients with coarctation of the aorta. We first validated blood flow simulations against in vitro measurements in 3D-printed phantoms representing the patient’s vasculature. We then investigated the effects of varying the degree of stenosis, blood flow rate, and viscosity on two diagnostic metrics – pressure gradient across the stenosis (ΔP) and wall shear stress (WSS) - by performing the largest simulation study to date of coarctation of the aorta (over 70 million compute hours). Using machine learning models trained on data from the simulations and validated on two independent datasets, we developed a framework to identify the minimal training set required to build a predictive model on a per-patient basis. We then used this model to accurately predict ΔP (mean absolute error within 1.18 mmHg) and WSS (mean absolute error within 0.99 Pa) for patients with this disease.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 9508 |
Journal | Scientific Reports |
Volume | 10 |
Issue number | 1 |
DOIs | |
State | Published - Dec 1 2020 |
Externally published | Yes |
Funding
B.F., J.G. and A.R. acknowledge support by the NIH grant DP5OD019876. The content is solely the responsibility of the authors and does not necessarily represent the official views of the National Institutes of Health. J.G. acknowledges support from the Big Data-Scientist Training Enhancement Program (BD-STEP) of the Department of Veterans Affairs and from the Hartwell Foundation. This work was performed under the auspices of the U.S. Department of Energy by Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory under Contract DEAC52-07NA27344. Computing support for this work came from Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory’s Institutional Computing Grand Challenge program.
Funders | Funder number |
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National Institutes of Health | |
U.S. Department of Energy | |
NIH Office of the Director | DP5OD019876 |
NIH Office of the Director | |
U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs | |
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory | DEAC52-07NA27344 |
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory | |
Hartwell Foundation |