TY - JOUR
T1 - A MULTI-MODEL ANALYSIS of the REGIONAL and SECTORAL ROLES of BIOENERGY in NEAR- And LONG-TERM CO2 EMISSIONS REDUCTION
AU - Calvin, Katherine
AU - Wise, Marshall
AU - Klein, David
AU - McCollum, David
AU - Tavoni, Massimo
AU - Van Der Zwaan, B. O.B.
AU - Van Vuuren, Detlef P.
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2013 World Scientific Publishing Company.
PY - 2013/11/1
Y1 - 2013/11/1
N2 - This paper examines the near- and the long-term contribution of regional and sectoral bioenergy use in response to both regionally diverse near-term policies and longer-term global climate change mitigation policies. The use of several models provides a source of heterogeneity in terms of incorporating uncertain assumptions about future socioeconomics and technology, as well as different paradigms for how different regions and major economies of the world may respond to climate policies. The results highlight the heterogeneity and versatility of bioenergy itself, with different types of resources and applications in several energy sectors. In large part due to this versatility, the contribution of bioenergy to climate mitigation is a robust response across all models. Regional differences in bioenergy consumption, however, highlight the importance of assumptions about trade in bioenergy feedstocks and the influence of energy and climate policies. When global trade in bioenergy is possible, regional patterns of bioenergy use follow global patterns. When trade is assumed not to be feasible, regions with high bioenergy supply potential tend to consume more bioenergy than other regions. Energy and climate policies, such as renewable energy targets, can incentivize bioenergy use, but specifics of the policies will dictate the degree to which this is true. For example, renewable final energy targets, which include electric and non-electric renewable sources, increase bioenergy use in all models, while electric-only renewable targets have a mixed effect on bioenergy use across models.
AB - This paper examines the near- and the long-term contribution of regional and sectoral bioenergy use in response to both regionally diverse near-term policies and longer-term global climate change mitigation policies. The use of several models provides a source of heterogeneity in terms of incorporating uncertain assumptions about future socioeconomics and technology, as well as different paradigms for how different regions and major economies of the world may respond to climate policies. The results highlight the heterogeneity and versatility of bioenergy itself, with different types of resources and applications in several energy sectors. In large part due to this versatility, the contribution of bioenergy to climate mitigation is a robust response across all models. Regional differences in bioenergy consumption, however, highlight the importance of assumptions about trade in bioenergy feedstocks and the influence of energy and climate policies. When global trade in bioenergy is possible, regional patterns of bioenergy use follow global patterns. When trade is assumed not to be feasible, regions with high bioenergy supply potential tend to consume more bioenergy than other regions. Energy and climate policies, such as renewable energy targets, can incentivize bioenergy use, but specifics of the policies will dictate the degree to which this is true. For example, renewable final energy targets, which include electric and non-electric renewable sources, increase bioenergy use in all models, while electric-only renewable targets have a mixed effect on bioenergy use across models.
KW - Bioenergy
KW - climate change
KW - integrated assessment
UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84992303280&partnerID=8YFLogxK
U2 - 10.1142/S2010007813400149
DO - 10.1142/S2010007813400149
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:84992303280
SN - 2010-0078
VL - 4
JO - Climate Change Economics
JF - Climate Change Economics
IS - 4
M1 - 1340014
ER -