A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria

You Dong; Dan M. Frangopol; Samantha Sabatino

doi:10.1016/j.ress.2016.02.002

A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria

You Dong, Dan M. Frangopol, Samantha Sabatino

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › peer-review

34 Scopus citations

Abstract

It is crucial to evaluate the risk associated with marine vessels subjected to inclement weather and sea conditions when developing a decision support system for ship routing. The generalized decision making framework developed in this paper performs a variety of tasks, including, but not limited to quantifying the flexural and fatigue performance of ship structures and employing multi-attribute utility theory to evaluate ship mission performance. A structural reliability approach is utilized to compute the probability of failure considering the uncertainties in structural capacity and load effects; specifically, effects of flexural and fatigue damage are investigated. The expected repair cost, cumulative fatigue damage, total travel time, and carbon dioxide emissions associated with ship routing are considered as consequences within the risk assessment procedure adopted in this paper. Additionally, the decision maker's risk attitude is integrated into the presented approach by employing utility theory. The presented methodology can assist decision makers in making informed decisions concerning ship routing. In order to illustrate its capabilities the approach is applied to the Joint High-speed Sealift Ship.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	190-201
Number of pages	12
Journal	Reliability Engineering and System Safety
Volume	150
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2016.02.002
State	Published - Jun 1 2016
Externally published	Yes

Funding

The support from the U.S. Office of Naval Research (Contracts Nos. 00014-08-1-0188 and 00014-12-1-0023 , Structural Reliability Program, Director Dr. Paul E. Hess III, ONR, Code 331) is gratefully acknowledged. The opinions and conclusions presented in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsoring organization.

Funders	Funder number
U.S. Office of Naval Research	00014-12-1-0023, 00014-08-1-0188
Office of Naval Research

Keywords

Decision making
Multi-attribute utility theory
Operational conditions
Risk assessment
Ship reliability
Spectral fatigue analysis

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

Access to Document

10.1016/j.ress.2016.02.002

Cite this

@article{f88d898910f943beacc2174aa838404d,

title = "A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria",

abstract = "It is crucial to evaluate the risk associated with marine vessels subjected to inclement weather and sea conditions when developing a decision support system for ship routing. The generalized decision making framework developed in this paper performs a variety of tasks, including, but not limited to quantifying the flexural and fatigue performance of ship structures and employing multi-attribute utility theory to evaluate ship mission performance. A structural reliability approach is utilized to compute the probability of failure considering the uncertainties in structural capacity and load effects; specifically, effects of flexural and fatigue damage are investigated. The expected repair cost, cumulative fatigue damage, total travel time, and carbon dioxide emissions associated with ship routing are considered as consequences within the risk assessment procedure adopted in this paper. Additionally, the decision maker's risk attitude is integrated into the presented approach by employing utility theory. The presented methodology can assist decision makers in making informed decisions concerning ship routing. In order to illustrate its capabilities the approach is applied to the Joint High-speed Sealift Ship.",

keywords = "Decision making, Multi-attribute utility theory, Operational conditions, Risk assessment, Ship reliability, Spectral fatigue analysis",

author = "You Dong and Frangopol, {Dan M.} and Samantha Sabatino",

year = "2016",

month = jun,

day = "1",

doi = "10.1016/j.ress.2016.02.002",

language = "English",

volume = "150",

pages = "190--201",

journal = "Reliability Engineering and System Safety",

issn = "0951-8320",

publisher = "Elsevier",

}

TY - JOUR

T1 - A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria

AU - Dong, You

AU - Frangopol, Dan M.

AU - Sabatino, Samantha

PY - 2016/6/1

Y1 - 2016/6/1

N2 - It is crucial to evaluate the risk associated with marine vessels subjected to inclement weather and sea conditions when developing a decision support system for ship routing. The generalized decision making framework developed in this paper performs a variety of tasks, including, but not limited to quantifying the flexural and fatigue performance of ship structures and employing multi-attribute utility theory to evaluate ship mission performance. A structural reliability approach is utilized to compute the probability of failure considering the uncertainties in structural capacity and load effects; specifically, effects of flexural and fatigue damage are investigated. The expected repair cost, cumulative fatigue damage, total travel time, and carbon dioxide emissions associated with ship routing are considered as consequences within the risk assessment procedure adopted in this paper. Additionally, the decision maker's risk attitude is integrated into the presented approach by employing utility theory. The presented methodology can assist decision makers in making informed decisions concerning ship routing. In order to illustrate its capabilities the approach is applied to the Joint High-speed Sealift Ship.

AB - It is crucial to evaluate the risk associated with marine vessels subjected to inclement weather and sea conditions when developing a decision support system for ship routing. The generalized decision making framework developed in this paper performs a variety of tasks, including, but not limited to quantifying the flexural and fatigue performance of ship structures and employing multi-attribute utility theory to evaluate ship mission performance. A structural reliability approach is utilized to compute the probability of failure considering the uncertainties in structural capacity and load effects; specifically, effects of flexural and fatigue damage are investigated. The expected repair cost, cumulative fatigue damage, total travel time, and carbon dioxide emissions associated with ship routing are considered as consequences within the risk assessment procedure adopted in this paper. Additionally, the decision maker's risk attitude is integrated into the presented approach by employing utility theory. The presented methodology can assist decision makers in making informed decisions concerning ship routing. In order to illustrate its capabilities the approach is applied to the Joint High-speed Sealift Ship.

KW - Decision making

KW - Multi-attribute utility theory

KW - Operational conditions

KW - Risk assessment

KW - Ship reliability

KW - Spectral fatigue analysis

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=84959330968&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1016/j.ress.2016.02.002

DO - 10.1016/j.ress.2016.02.002

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:84959330968

SN - 0951-8320

VL - 150

SP - 190

EP - 201

JO - Reliability Engineering and System Safety

JF - Reliability Engineering and System Safety

ER -

A decision support system for mission-based ship routing considering multiple performance criteria

Abstract

Funding

Keywords

UN SDGs

Access to Document

Other files and links

Fingerprint

Cite this